weather.fun

Weather-market intelligence

See the forecast.
Price the weather.

Live contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket, matched to the stations that settle them and compared with Open-Meteo.
Kalshi unavailable Polymarket unavailable Open-Meteo unavailable
Live contracts0Matched and supported
Settlement stations0Real mapped locations
Comparable markets0Forecast probability available
Largest disagreementWaiting for feeds

Settlement station map

Click a live station marker to inspect its first contract.
Kalshi Polymarket

Live weather markets

Updated · prices are indicative
ContractExchangeMarketOpen-MeteoDifferenceVolume
What “difference” means

weather.fun compares the market’s implied YES price with an indicative probability derived from the Open-Meteo daily maximum and a fixed forecast-error distribution. It is not yet a calibrated proprietary forecast, a guarantee of profit, or investment advice.